about very little. The media is trying to stoke the perception that the Red Sox have massively closed the gap on the Yankees and that therefore the Yankees must sign Cliff Lee at any cost. To this, the Clarion Content says, "Hah! Pu-leeze."
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More valuable to the Yanks than Cliff Lee...
The Red Sox acquisitions of Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez certainly help the team, but measured in light of losing Adrian Beltre and Victor Martinez from their line-up, they barely represent a net gain in offense.
Gonzalez .298 AVG, .393 OBP, 31 HRs, 101 RBIs
Beltre .321 AVG, .365 OBP, 28 HRs, 102 RBIs
Victor Martinez .302 AVG, .351 OBP, 20 HRs, 79 RBIs
Carl Crawford .307 AVG, .356 OBP, 19 HRs, 90 RBIs
Remember too, Gonzalez compiled his statistics playing in the AAAA National League, whereas Beltre was playing big boy baseball in the toughest of divisions. Recall too, that Crawford's 19 dingers and 90 RBIs were career highs. Still, Crawford represents a slight step up from Martinez, who was atrocious defensively at catcher. Crawford is a plus defensive outfielder.
The other thing the Red Sox are touting about Crawford is his speed and stolen bases.
This is a Trojan Horse. Last year demonstrated the foolishness of trying to play
UZR based
Moneyball in Fenway Park. Yankees fans can only hope they
try it again. The net
Moneyball World Series titles won to date, zero. As the old saying goes, "Stats are for losers."
Crawford will turn thirty next year, just about the point where stolen bases start to rapidly decline for most players. A useful analogy might be Carlos Beltran, whom the Mets overpaid almost as badly as the Sox overpaid for Crawford. Beltran had five consecutive thirty plus SB seasons before signing with the Mets. Not counting his injury decimated 2010, Beltran has averaged a meager nineteen SBs a year as a Met. Crawford is unlikely to top that number by much over the duration of his Red Sox contract.
Player-for-player, after signing nearly $300 million in bats this offseason, the Red Sox line-up still does not measure up to the Yankees. Let's go around the horn to underline the veracity of that statement.
1B Mark Teixeira vs. Adrian Gonzalez
At very worst a push, we rate it, slight edge Yankees.
2B Robinson Cano vs. Dustin Pedroia
Edge Yankees.
SS Derek Jeter vs. Marco Scutaro
Edge Yankees.
3B A-Rod vs. Kevin Youkilis
Push.
RF Nick Swisher vs. J.D. Drew
Edge Yankees.
CF Curtis Granderson vs. Jacoby Ellsbury
Edge Yankees.
LF Brett Gardner vs. Carl Crawford
Edge Red Sox.
Catcher Jesus Montero vs. Jarrod Saltalamacchia
Push
DH Jorge Posada vs. David Ortiz
Push
The tote board reads then, five spots advantage Yankees, one spot advantage Red Sox and three pushes. Doesn't exactly sound like much to worry about really. The Yankees bigger threat will likely once again come from the Tampa Bay Rays. The only thing that could make a Cliff Lee signing urgent would be if Andy Pettitte elected to retire. The Yanks would then need another starting pitcher. Otherwise, it is much ado about nothing, manufactured media hype.
The Yankees would actually be worse off by tying their hands with a seven year contract to an aging lefty who was 26 up and 22 down the last two years, a guy who has won more than fifteen games only twice, a guy who is already thirty-two. Cliff Lee reminds our sports editor of the Mike Mussina signing, a good player, but not worth the money.